"Should development take place on the Atlantic side of Florida, it may once again drift northward toward the U.S. coast," Accuweather said on July 11. The more plausible option is development on the Gulf side, which could be steered westward along the northern Gulf Coast, the weather forecast company stated.

The summer of flooding and irritant-level tropical threats rolls with this week’s focus on a disorganized disturbance in the northern Gulf.