Inflation expectations among businesses can affect how they set current prices. Firms’ expectations diverged from those of ...
Measures of beliefs, sentiment, and narratives often send recession signals that differ from those in hard data, defined as conventional economic and financial indicators. Using a real-time ...
Thomas M. Mertens, senior vice president and associate director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, ...
Nearly 40% of small business respondents to the 2024 Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS) reported either using or planning to use artificial intelligence (AI), revealing a rapidly evolving landscape ...
Firm heterogeneity in financial constraints is a quantitatively important driver of how monetary policy transmits to ...
Economic activity in the Twelfth District was somewhat muted but largely stable during the mid-May through June reporting period. Employment levels were largely steady, with employers generally ...
This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...
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