Inflation expectations among businesses can affect how they set current prices. Firms’ expectations diverged from those of ...
Nearly 40% of small business respondents to the 2024 SBCS reported using or planning to use artificial intelligence (AI), ...
Thomas M. Mertens, senior vice president and associate director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, ...
Economic activity in the Twelfth District was somewhat muted but largely stable during the mid-May through June reporting ...
Measures of beliefs, sentiment, and narratives often send recession signals that differ from those in hard data, defined as ...
The Federal Reserve System’s Reserve Banks across the country keep money moving securely, from electronic payroll deposits to instant payments to physical cash. In this critical role, Reserve Banks ...
To better understand the possible impacts of artificial intelligence (AI) on the economy, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco published the 2025 research brief “On-the-Job Exposure to AI Among ...
I develop a framework analyzing how artificial intelligence (AI) reshapes monetary policy through three interrelated channels: cyclical transmission, structural transition, and financial stability. In ...
We recently collaborated with other researchers and central banks to ask senior business executives about AI in their own firms. Our study, issued in February, revealed that AI adoption is already ...
The weekly Labor Market Stress Indicator (LMSI) tracks state-level labor market developments in real time to better understand labor market conditions as they evolve. The measure is built from weekly ...
In order to promote transparency, the Federal Reserve Banks have made available the financial disclosure forms and related documents their current President filed with their Federal Reserve Bank’s ...
The Reserve Banks that make up the Federal Reserve System provide services to financial institutions, which in turn provide services to businesses and the general public. The Federal Reserve System is ...
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